NVDA-Diffusion Alpha Engine

PAPER-SHADOW · GATED

Account PA3RCUF7AFVN · the single validated trading engine. Capital is BLOCKED until the promotion gate clears (no auto-promotion).

Strategy

Long an equal-weight basket {APLD, IREN, WULF, CORZ} on an NVDA diffusion trigger (NVDA daily return > +1σ of its 20-day vol), held 1 trading day, continuously hedged SHORT NVDA + SMH + QQQ at multivariate partial betas. The edge is the timing + the hedge (unhedged it is a loser); it is marginal (t≈2), so it must prove itself on paper first.

Awaiting activation

No cycles recorded yet. First live (paper) entry is gated to a Monday RTH activation (clean-slate the account → single-entry verification). Once running, this page shows each day's signal, the hedged position, per-cycle P&L, and gate progress.

Promotion gate

NOT ELIGIBLE

Capital-eligible only when ALL hold. No auto-promotion.

○Closed cycles ≥ 40 (have 0)

○Hedged mean > 0 (+$0.00/cycle)

○Sign agreement ≥ 55% (0%)

○t-stat ≥ 2 (n/a)

hedged Sharpe-so-far: n/a

Cycle history

No cycles yet.

Source: nvda_diffusion_state.json · gate computed live · full design in docs/ALPHA-ENGINE-NVDA-DIFFUSION.md