Ticker Oracle

Math/physics-derived daily edge with explicit entry/exit prices (GPD tail anomalies + dual-window regime edges). Re-run the analysis or scan any ticker on demand — every run is stamped with live Eastern time.

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one investor's order ≥$100k, ask-side, near-term — newest first
Time (ET)TickerSideStrikeExpDTEOrderFillTagsBias
No block trades yet today — populates as ≥$100k single orders print.
A single print ≥$100k— one investor's order (not aggregated) — on a near-term (≤7DTE) option, ask-side (a purchase). ⚡ = multi-exchange sweep. This is the truest "an individual bought a large volume" signal. Detects the flow, not account identity.
Tags are preliminary heuristics from the 06-26 outcome study; being validated forward by the uw-flow-eval ledger.
method & caveats

Earliest-catch layers, fused every 3 min: lead-account X agreement (the only proven pre-gap edge) · primed fuel-list ignition (4am–RTH real-time watch) · exchange halts · overnight EDGAR/PR catalysts · 09:31 gap-confirm (A+ = backtested 50–150% post-open sweet band). Every lane is forward-graded nightly — A-EARLY emails mirror this board. Feed idle (off-hours).

no early candidates right now
🔥 Fuel ignitions (idle · list 0 · —)
none ignited
⛔ Halts (—)
none today
🌙 Overnight catalysts (0 · —)
none yet

Decision flow: PRE-GAP LEADS / FUEL IGNITION fire before or at ignition (earliest, highest variance) → 09:31 gap-confirm is the highest-precision daily entry list → confirm entries on the Runner Engine VWAP-reclaim board below. Intel only — every lane accrues a forward precision record before it earns trust. Not financial advice.

HCHC sub-tier (premarket + ≥3 leads): forward ran50 23.2% vs 12.7% baseline, p=0.003, forward-paper, thin n; ≥5 leads = low-trust.

Empirically-gated runner radar (low-float + volume-ignition + fresh catalyst + above-VWAP, kill-switches on active offering / reverse-split / VWAP loss). Scans every ~5 min.
No qualifying runners right now — the scanner is strict by design (most movers fail a gate). Check back next cycle.
Intel only · confirmation entry (VWAP hold) · flat by Friday · not financial advice. Run a candidate's Grok prompt for the leading-vs-lagging verdict before acting.
Catch-and-time daily runners: early identification + entry/exit timing. Most runners are non-fundamental traps — that's fine. Reverse-splits / offerings / low-float / hard-to-borrow are setup fuel, not disqualifiers. VWAP-reclaim entries, hard exits before the cliff. X mention-velocity is live; Grok-4.3 leading/lagging verdicts are LIVE (ENTRY-gated, 40/day budget).

🎯 Watchlist · 0 tiered · updated —

No premarket watchlist yet — tiering runs on the premarket pop-live cycle. Reverse-splits / offerings / low-float are SETUP FUEL here, not disqualifiers.

⚡ Live triggers · 0 tracked · updated —

No live triggers — the intraday engine fires on watchlist names during RTH (or in replay mode against closed minute data).
Intel only · confirmation entry (VWAP hold on volume) · ENTRY re-arms after exits (max 3/name/day; alert emails cap 2) · hard stand-down on red f30 after 10:00 ET · not financial advice.
Six months of 5-minute bars (Polygon, full extended session) bucketed by trading session and weekday, with the average intraday shape, market-vs-stock-specific decomposition, and an Unusual Whales overlay (dealer gamma, short interest, options-flow timing, multi-year seasonality). ✔ = FDR-significant + persistent, • = nominal (|t|≥2) — treat • patterns with caution (multiple-testing noise).
No pattern data yet — run the intraday pattern engine.
A rigorous, look-ahead-free search for cross-sectional alpha across — stocks over ~4yr. Every angle must clear out-of-sample significance, orthogonality to market+vol+size, net-of-cost, placebo, FDR, AND survive on liquid names. The honest prior: most candidates die.
✅ Confirmed alpha — none survived adversarial review (an honest result)
Scoreboard — all 0 angles
angleOOS Sharpe (net)α-t (mkt)α-t (orth)turnplacebo pallliquid
Tickers with rising X mention-velocity (Grok-verified leading vs lagging), surfaced premarket and merged into the watchlist. Discovery runs every ~15 min, 06:00–noon ET. Velocity = last-hour mentions ÷ trailing baseline (>1 = accelerating).
No social-ignition candidates right now. Fresh names surface during premarket (06:00–09:30 ET) when retail chatter on tomorrow's gappers accelerates.
Social = a confirmation/ideation layer, not a buy. leading = fresh ignition (still tradeable); lagging = FOMO/exhausted echo. These names flow into the Runner Engine watchlist for VWAP-trigger evaluation. Not financial advice.